Stock Region Watchlist
❄️ Is Winter Coming for Tech? Plus, Holiday Shopping Plays
❄️ Is Winter Coming for Tech? Plus, Holiday Shopping Plays
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Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
To: Stock Region Members
Disclaimer: The following content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading stocks involves risk, and you should always do your own research or consult a certified financial planner before making investment decisions. The opinions expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official stance of Stock Region.
Good morning, Stock Region family! ☕
Is it just me, or does the market feel a bit like it’s holding its breath right now? We are deep in the final stretch of 2025, and honestly, the volatility is enough to make anyone’s head spin. But that’s why we love it, right? The thrill of the hunt.
Today’s watchlist is a mixed bag of emotions. We’ve got tech giants battling high expectations, a defensive play that feels like a warm blanket, and a retailer hoping to cash in on our holiday spending habits. Let’s dive in.
❄️ Snowflake ($SNOW): Growing Pains or Just a Stumble?
Okay, let’s talk about the elephant in the room. Snowflake is down about 8% in premarket trading this morning. If you’re holding, that stings.
But here’s my take: the market is overreacting. The company just reported that their AI solution, Snowflake Intelligence, grabbed 1,200 new customers in a single month. That is insane adoption speed. Q3 revenue beat estimates at $1.21 billion, and product revenue is up 29% year-over-year.
The drop seems purely driven by their “conservative” guidance for next quarter (expecting 27% growth instead of sticking to the 29% trend). To me, this feels like a classic case of “under-promise, over-deliver” for the future. Despite today’s red tape, the stock is still up over 70% this year. I’m keeping my eyes peeled here.
Levels to Watch:
Upside Break: Above $244.97
Downside Risk: Below $239.40
☁️ Salesforce ($CRM): The Agentforce Awakening
Salesforce is fascinating right now. While the stock has been beaten down this year (down 29% YTD), the internal engine is roaring. Their “Agentforce” AI initiative is absolutely crushing it—ARR surged 114% to $1.4 billion.
It feels like the market hasn’t fully priced in this pivot yet. They just raised their full-year guidance to over $41.5 billion. Analysts are seeing a 32% upside from here, targeting $310. Personally, I think this is a sleeping giant situation. When the sentiment turns, it could turn fast.
Levels to Watch:
Upside Break: Above $247.16
Downside Risk: Below $241.89
🥓 Hormel Foods ($HRL): The Safe Harbor
Let’s switch gears. Sometimes you just want stability, and Hormel is giving us exactly that. They raised their annual profit forecast, proving that even when prices go up, people still buy their favorite comfort foods.
In a market that feels a little shaky, Hormel is that defensive play appealing to the risk-averse side of my brain. It’s not flashy, but it’s solid.
Levels to Watch:
Upside Break: Above $24.44
Downside Risk: Below $24.21
🛍️ Five Below ($FIVE): The Holiday Hustle
Finally, we have Five Below. Tis the season, right? They are positioning themselves perfectly for the budget-conscious holiday shopper. With inflation still lingering in people’s minds, I suspect a lot of parents are going to be filling stockings here rather than at pricier alternatives.
They are expanding aggressively with new stores, which is a bold move. If they nail the holiday season sales numbers, we could see some nice movement here.
Levels to Watch:
Upside Break: Above $170.73
Downside Risk: Below $166.40
Stay disciplined today. Don’t chase the Snowflake dip unless you have a plan, and keep an eye on those key levels. Let the price action confirm your thesis.
Let’s have a great trading day!
- The Stock Region Team
Disclaimer: Investment in securities involves significant risk and has the potential for partial or complete loss of funds invested. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This newsletter is not a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned. Always perform your own due diligence.