Stock Region Watchlist Newsletter - Thursday, May 8, 2025
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Shopify ($SHOP)
Revenue Growth: Shopify’s Q1 2025 revenue surged to $2.36 billion, marking a 26.8% year-over-year increase and beating Wall Street estimates.
Optimistic Guidance: The company anticipates mid-20% revenue growth for Q2, slightly above analyst expectations.
Challenges: Shopify reported gross merchandise volume (GMV) of $74.75 billion, which fell slightly short of estimates. Additionally, its cautious profit forecast for Q2 reflects potential hurdles related to trade pressures.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: $88.94
Downside: $85.00
AppLovin ($APP)
Strong Q1 Results: AppLovin achieved impressive Q1 2025 revenue of $1.48 billion, up 40% year-over-year, and earnings of $1.67 per share, both significantly surpassing expectations.
Advertising Growth: Revenue from advertising jumped by 71%, reaching $1.16 billion.
Strategic Moves: The company announced the sale of its mobile gaming business for $400 million in cash and a 20% equity stake in Tripledot Studios, sharpening its focus on advertising.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: $355.13
Downside: $343.31
Peloton ($PTON)
Mixed Results: Peloton reported Q3 2025 revenue of $624 million, slightly ahead of estimates, but posted a larger-than-expected loss of $0.12 per share.
Subscriber Trends: Paid Connected Fitness subscriptions dropped 6% year-over-year. However, the decline was less severe than the company had forecasted.
Outlook: Peloton raised its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $330-$350 million, reflecting a more optimistic financial outlook.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: $7.12
Downside: $6.31
Tapestry ($TPR)
Record Q3 Results: Tapestry’s Q3 2025 revenue reached a record $1.6 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with earnings of $1.03 per share, both exceeding analyst expectations.
Raised Guidance: The company increased its full-year revenue forecast to $6.95 billion and expects EPS to hit $5.00, reflecting high-teens percentage growth.
Strong Brand Performance: Its flagship brand, Coach, achieved 13% sales growth, buoyed by product innovation and strong consumer demand.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: $84.55
Downside: $80.33
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